Guide To Finding Multibagger Stocks

Multibagger Stocks Meaning

Peter Lynch, the highly respected manager of Fidelity Investments Mutual Fund, coined the word “multibagger stock” in his books One Up on Wall Street and Beating the Street.

The term became very popular amongst investors because Peter Lynch gave practical examples of how companies that we use in the daily life like McDonalds, Dunkin Donut, Walt Disney, Ford Motor Co etc are great investment opportunities and give huge gains to shareholders.

The reference by Peter Lynch was to stocks which can give a return which is several times the investment made in them.

So, a stock which gives a gain of 200% and returns 300% of the investment becomes a 3-bagger. A stock which gives 10 times the investment is called a 10-bagger.

Click here for a daily updated list of Free Stock Market Tips & Recommendations By Experts. The stocks are picked based on fundamental and technical parameters




Meaning Of 100-Baggers

The concept of 100-baggers was made popular by Thomas Phelps in his book “100 to 1 In The Stock Market”.

Thomas Phelps referred to stocks which the potential to give 100x the investment made in them. Phelps gave several examples of such stocks and also gave a detailed explanation on the process that should be adopted by investors to find such stocks.

Penny Stocks, Micro-Cap & Small-Cap stocks

Generally, multibagger stocks are to be found in penny, micro and small-cap stocks. The reason for this is simple. These stocks have a smaller market capitalisation and find it easier to double and triple their net worth in a short while.

For, example a stock with a market capitalisation of only Rs. 100 crore can easily grow to a market capitalisation of Rs. 500 crore and give investors a 500% return.

In contrast, large-cap companies will find it very difficult, if not impossible to give multibagger returns to their shareholders.

Examples of multibagger stocks in India

There are several stocks in India which have given 10x and even 100x returns. Most of these stocks belong to the penny and small-cap space.

Caplin Point Laboratories is one example of a stock which has given a 10x return in a short period of time. Caplin Point manufactures pharmaceutical products and exports them to Venezuala and other Latin American countries.

Another example of a multibagger stock is Uniply Industries. The stock has attracted marquee investors like Radhakishan Damani, Ramesh Damani and Vallabh Bhanshali and has given a return of 1400%.

There are several other examples of stocks which have become multibagger and created huge wealth for investors. Stocks like Ajanta Pharma, Alembic Pharma, Mangalam Drugs, Intrasoft Technologies, Lanco Industries (Srikalahasthi Pipes), Shreyas Shipping, Page Industries, Hawkins Cooker, PI Industries etc are examples of such stocks.

How To Find Multibagger Stocks

Generally speaking, one has to hunt for such stocks in the penny, micro and small-cap space. Such stocks have a low market capitalisation which makes it easier for them to grow exponentially.

Moat

One has to find stocks that enjoy a moat from the competition. The moat can be in the form of a technological advantage or a marketing advantage. Basically, the company must be able to fend off competitors from laying stake to the market.

High RoE Companies

It is a common feature of penny and small-cap stocks which are growing fast that they will enjoy high rates of RoE. The RoE must be in excess of 20% to be attractive. The high RoE shows that the Company is growing in a profitable manner and that the growth is not coming at the cost of profits.

It is elementary that if a company does not make profit and instead suffers a loss, it will soon run out of capital and will have to go for liquidation and be wound up.

In fact, several companies in the e-commerce space have chased high growth at the cost of profits. Such a strategy is not sustainable in the long run and has resulted in the closure of these companies.

Examples of such companies are Local Banya, Tiny Owl, Grofers, Hola Chef etc.

Characteristics of multibagger stocks

The following are the salient features that all potential multibagger stocks display

(i) The Company offers a product or a service that is unique or innovative and for which there is a lot of demand and not much competition;

(ii) The size of the opportunity should be huge in relation to the size of the Company;

(iii) The Company should enjoy high profitability which will be reflected in the RoE levels;

(iv) The promoters should be highly committed and able to steer the Company to new heights through hard work and perseverance;

(v) The promoters must have the honesty and integrity to want to share the gains of the Company with the shareholders;

(vi) The Company should have low debt or be debt-free.

Multibagger Stocks




The following five stocks are small-cap stocks with excellent quality of management and high RoEs. They have a huge scale of opportunity ahead of them. These stocks have the potential to give multibagger returns in the future as well.

(i) Caplin Point Laboratories;
(ii) Shaily Engineering Plastics;
(iii) Vidhi Dyestuffs;
(iv) Apcotex Industries;
(v) Oriental Carbon;
(vi) Adi Finechem;
(vii) Astec Life;
(viii) Prima Plastics;
(ix) Heritage Foods;
(x) Capital First.

Multibagger Stocks of the past

The following stocks have already given huge returns in earlier years. However, they are of such good quality of management and have such a dominant command over the market that they can be expected to give excellent returns in the future as well.

(i) Pricol
(ii) LIC Housing Finance
(iii) Repco Home Finance
(iv) VST Tillers Tractors
(v) Bharat Electronics

Experts in multibagger stocks

There are a number of experts who have mastered the subject and are able to find stocks that give huge gains. Their names are as follows:

(i) Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and Radhakishan Damani

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and Radhakishan Damani became billionaires by buying small-cap stocks which became large-cap stocks. The present size of the portfolio of Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and Radhakishan Damani is so great that they can no longer invest in penny or micro-cap stocks. Even small-cap stocks are out of bounds for these investors. They can invest only in large-cap stocks.

(ii) Dolly Khanna/ Rajiv Khanna

Dolly Khanna and Rajiv Khanna have made a large number of investments that have become very big success stories. Dolly Khanna has made a lot of money in stocks like Cera Sanitaryware, Hawkins Cooker, Avanti Feeds etc.

(iii) Vijay Kedia

Vijay Kedia has also made a large number of investments which have proved to be big winners. Vijay Kedia is famous for stocks like Atul Auto, Sundaram Chemicals, Repro, etc where he has made a fortune.

(iv) Porinju Veliyath

Porinju Veliyath has a Portfolio Management Service called Equity Intelligence. He has made a lot of money by buying penny and small-cap stocks.

Porinju Veliyath has recently recommended stocks like Future Consumer, DCM Shriram, Tata Global Beverages, Biocon, Jubilant Life Sciences, Emkay, NIIT, HSIL, Transport Corporation etc.

(v) Basant Maheshwari

Basant Maheshwari is a well-known stock advisor. He runs a Portfolio Management Service called Basant Maheshwari Financial Services. His favourite stocks are Granules India, Ujjivan Financial, Equitas Holding, Repco Home Finance etc.

(vi) Mudar Pathreya

Mudar Pathreya writes a column in Business Standard where he recommends penny, micro and small-cap stocks for investment. Some of Mudar Pathreya’s recent stock recommendations include Mercator, Sumeet Industries, Lakshmi Foods, Alphageo, Caplin Point Labs, Indo Count Industries etc.

Several other experts who have made a fortune from buying penny, micro and small-cap companies include Ramesh Damani, Kenneth Andrade, Kalpraj Dharamshi, Madhusudan Kela, Shyam Sekar, Sunil Singhania, Ambareesh Baliga, S. P. Tulsian etc

Download Multibagger stock research reports

The research reports prepared by leading brokerages like Sharekhan, ICICI-Direct, Motilal Oswal, Religare, Kotak Securities etc are available for download.

209 thoughts on “Guide To Finding Multibagger Stocks

  1. Respected Sir/Madam,
    I am recently started trading, could you please suggest some multi-bagger/penny stocks to invest for 5 to 10 years period. those stocks price range below 10rs.
    Thanks in advance,

  2. Respected Sir/Madam,
    I am recently started trading, could you please suggest some multi-bagger/penny stocks to invest for 3-6 months horizon.
    Thanks in advance,

  3. Sub: A request to make the price band of upcoming IPO of your esteemed concern within the limit of the poor investors from humanity ground in India.

    Dear Sir,

    I came to know from very reliable media sources that you are going for an IPO immediately. Many wishes for your upcoming IPO. Certainly it will get success in the listing day and the small investors will get a handsome return through listing gains as well as long term also.

    I do hereby request you to issue shares of your esteemed concern at its lowest prices so that the ordinary people can be benefited from it.

    According to me, investment in an IPO is one of the best way to eradicate income inequality in our society, it is almost risk-free and do not include brokerage charges.

    Moreover, as most of the common people can’t follow the secondary market properly due to lack of accurate knowledge, experience, expertise and time, they incur losses. Now IPOs give them a chance to recover such losses.

    Last but not the least, new investors are coming into the equity market only through IPOs and certainly it is a very good sign for an emerging economy like India.

  4. Hello Michael,

    What are your views on Manappuram, Sunflag Iron and Prakash Industries. I have invested in these stocks. Is next 3 months good for these stocks?

    Thanks in advance.

  5. Your suggestion for micro-cap stocks like Prima Plastics, Vidhi Dyestuffs, ADF Foods, Panama Petrochem have prooved right.. sir pl recommend multibagger stocks to invest in dec 2017 for one year.thanks and regards.

  6. Hello Michael,

    I am planning to invest in below mentioned stocks.
    Please suggest your valuable comments regarding stocks.

    1. Manappuram Finance
    2. DHFL
    3. KIE Industries
    4. Rain industries
    5. GNFC
    6. GHCL
    7. Himadri Special

    Your comments are very valuable. Also if you know any other good medium term script then please suggest me.

    Thanks in advance.

  7. Please guide me on which of the following equities can be multi bagger on long term basis of 3-5 years ?

    3M India
    Aarti Ind
    Aegis Logistics
    Agri-Tech
    APL Apollo Tubes
    Asahi India Glass
    Asahi Songwon
    Asian Granito
    Asian Paints
    Astec Life Sc
    Avanti Feeds
    Bajaj Fin
    Balkrishna Ind
    Berger Paints
    Biocon
    Blue Star
    Britannia
    Cadilla Health
    Cera Sanitary
    City Union Bank
    Dabur
    Eicher Mo
    Emami
    Endurance Tech
    Escorts
    Essel Propack
    Excel Crop Care
    FAG / Schaeffler
    Finolex Cables
    Finolex Ind
    Gabriel
    Gillette
    GNFC
    Godrej Consumer
    Godrej Ind
    Gravita
    Greenlam
    Harita Seat
    Hatsun Agro
    Havells
    HDFC
    HDFC Bank
    Heritage Food
    Indraprastha Gas
    ITC
    Jubilant Life Sc
    Jyothy Labs
    Kajaria Ceramics
    Kansai Nerolac
    Kaveri Seeds
    KRBL
    LICHF
    LT Foods
    Lumax Auto Tech
    Marico
    Maruti
    MGL
    Minda Ind
    Mold-Tek Pack
    Motherson Sumi
    MRF
    Natco Pharma
    Nilkamal
    Petronet
    Pi Ind
    Pidilite
    RBL Bank
    Relaxo Footwear
    Sharda Cropchem
    Shree Cements
    Somany Ceramics
    Sona Koyo
    Sterlite Tech
    Sundram Fastners
    Supreme Ind
    Surya Roshni
    Symphony
    Time Technoplast
    Trident
    TVS Motor
    Uflex
    UltraTech Cement
    UPL
    Vakrangee
    Vedanta
    V-Guard
    Vinati Organics
    Whirlpool
    Wim Plast (Cello)
    Yes Bank

  8. Hi

    I am holding the following list of shares with small count and want to onicrease eventually and for at least 4 years and more. Is the portfolio would looking like best bet or Do I need to update change the companies ? Please advise.
    ADVENZYMES 315
    AXISBANK 517
    AGRITECH 101
    APOLLO TYRE 251
    ASHOKLEYLAND 108
    CASTROLINDIA 393
    FEDERALBANK 116
    GATI
    HDIL 65
    INDIACEM 209
    SARDA PLYWOOD 181
    KITEX 245
    MOTHERSUMI 333
    SUN PHARMA 525
    PFS 41
    SHILPICABLES 26
    SINTEX 33
    SJVN LTD 33
    HINDUSTAN CONSTRUCTION 36
    MOTHERSON SUMI 331
    INDIACEM 208
    CADILA HEALTH 487
    GVK POWER 13

  9. Sir at first thanks for nice n informative blog. I need a help for a stock GHCL which I bt heavily at 235 n think it’s multibagger.kindly guide me i will b highly obliged.

    1. GHCL is a good company manufacturing soda ash, Sodium Bicarbonate, Industrial Textiles etc. There are savvy shareholders in it such as Ashish Kacholia, Ocean Dial etc. The stock is somewhat subdued at present. However, this may be because it had run up quite a lot in the past. The earnings have to catch up with the valuations.

  10. Sir I have following stocks please advise me sell or hold
    1 Hudco
    2 L&t finance
    3 sarda energy
    4 Gic housing
    5 GP petroleums
    6 fortune financial services
    7 Mep infrastructure
    8 BPL
    9 TT limited
    10 Ruchira Paper
    11 Crest venture

    1. Sir ,i hold Eequitas,MIC electronics,Edilewise,Megmani organics,First source ,Granules,kindly advice these are affordable for long term gain 10 to 20 years

      1. If you are planning to invest in a passive manner for 10 to 20 years, it is best to select very high quality small-cap and mid-cap companies. Equitas may not qualify because the micro-finance sector is in some turmoil and their future cannot be predicted. MIC Electronics is by no means a high-quality stock. The management is not trustworthy. Meghmani Organics manufactures specialty chemicals which may or may not be in demand depending on developments in China. These stocks may be okay for short periods of one or two years but not for long periods of 10 to 20 years.

  11. Hi,

    I am holding below stocks. Can you suggest if these are good for 2-3 years holding period?

    Kwality Dairy: I feel the transformation from B2B to B2C should boost this company in the coming quarters. Also they are continuously improvement their network by having direct procurement from farmers.

    PNC Infratech: I feel with good order book, excellent track record, lowest debt company being in construction space and being in developments of roads highways which government is willing to spend in the coming years.

    Please suggest with your valuable inputs. I generally buy stocks with intention of holding it for minimum 2 years unless business story gets changed.

    1. I agree that both stocks, Kwality Dairy and PNC Infratech, are good bets for the long-term given the management bandwidth and track record. Kwality has been weak in the recent past and there was also a scare when someone sold a big lot and triggered the lower circuit. However, the management clarified that the sale was not related to business operations and the stock did recover to some extent after that.

      In the dairy sector, you can also consider Heritage Foods. It is also doing well business-wise.

  12. i want to invest in bhel and l&n financa and cebbco and larsen and hindustan copper and gmr infra and pfc for long term pls sujest which one is good

    1. BHEL is expected to do well because of the Bullet train contract though it is a long term bet. Out of the stocks referred by you, L&T Finance Holdings appears to be the best because it is implementing a clear-cut strategy to improve the RoE and RoA. It is also reasonable priced in comparison to some of its peers.

  13. Hi michael,

    First of all I would like to thank you very much for your patience and replying our queries.

    I bought NFL@70 and FEL@20 for holding over a period of 1 year,will it get doubled?,

    After buying the above mentioned stocks ,heard mixed talk about the companies growth,So thought of clarifying with You,Please suggest me a stock that would double in 2 years.

    Thank you
    Nageswara

    1. “I bought NFL@70 and FEL@20 for holding over a period of 1 year,will it get doubled?”

      Stocks doubling and giving 100% gain in a short period is a matter of great luck and providence. It would be naive to believe that such gains can be planned in advance and replicated. It is also a dangerous strategy to look for such stocks because one may be tempted to buy dubious stocks which are promoted by unscrupulous operators.

      Both stocks, National Fertilizers and Future Enterprises, are good stocks for long-term investment. One can expect decent compounding returns from both.

  14. Hi Mike,

    Went through some of the post and liked your perspective. Thanks for that.

    1. I would like to invest on 1 or 2 specialty chemicals stocks. Can you recommend and what level should I wait for because most of them may be already a multi-bagger. (shree pushkar ?)

    2. Would like to know your view on KRBL & LT Foods, which one you recommend and what price based on valuation.

    3. I would like to pick up one stock in financial space involved in mutual fund management such as Edelweiss Financial Services or IIFL or Motilal oswal….looks like they had a good run up already..

    Regards

    1. (1) In the specialty chemicals stocks, it may be better to buy a basket of stocks. There are a number of stocks which look promising like Bodal Chemicals (in which Ashish Kacholia has recently invested), NOCIL (in which Dolly Khanna and Ashish Kacholia are both invested), Oriental Carbon (in which Mohnish Pabrai has recently taken a stake) etc. The stocks should have a good run till the crackdown by China on its own units continues.

      (2) Both KRBL and LT Foods are well known companies in the Basmati packaged foods sector. If the sector does well, both companies will prosper. KRBL is much bigger than LT Foods (11,000 cr vs. 1,700 cr) and this has its own advantages and disadvantages. Both stocks have had a spectacular run with 200%+ gain in 24 months.

      (3) The financial services sector is in great demand and is witnessing a terrific Bull run. The stocks are looking overheated and it is best to wait for them to consolidate before taking any decision.

  15. R/s sir,
    Kindly suggest about the portfolio.
    1. Apar industry – 830
    2. Asian graniato – 384
    3. Astec Lifesciences – 578
    4. Balaji Amines – 351
    5. Can fine homes – 2720
    6. Century plyboard – 274
    7. Cera Sanitaryware – 2980
    8. Coromandel International – 418
    9.Diwan housing – 418
    10. Excel crop care – 1770
    11. Fiem industry – 875
    12. Gmdc – 133
    13. Lt foods – 72
    14. Manappuram Finance – 89
    15. Minda industry – 620
    16. NOCIL – 106
    17. Nirvikara Paper – 79
    18. Nitin Spinners – 133
    19. Panama Petrochem – 146
    20. Pricol – 78
    21. Prima plastics – 264
    22. SH kelkar- 280
    23. Sp apparel – 420
    24. Srikalahasti pipes – 333
    25. Sterling Tools – 262
    26. TCI express – 477
    27. The Mandhana Retail Ventures 157
    28. Trident – 81
    29. Uflex – 366
    30. Uniply – 332

    Apprx 50000 invested in each of the above stock. Total investment 15 lac. Can hold the stocks for 5-6 years atleast as my age is 27 years so no urgent need of money. Kindly suggest

    1. The selection of stocks is good. All the stocks in the portfolio are well known small-cap or mid-caps with reputed managements and proven business models. It is the ideal buy and hold portfolio for compounding gains.

  16. Hi Michael,

    Thanks for making such a informative blog.

    I am accumulating manappuram finance for the longer term.

    I want to get your reviews on the following stocks among which I can plan to accumulate-

    1.Dcb bank
    2.DHFL
    3.GNFC
    4.Shalibhadra finance
    5.Nitin Spinner
    6.Sterling tools
    7.IIFL

    Please suggest amongst above stocks or if you recommend some other stock for 2-3 year.

    1. Dear Michael,

      First of all, congrats for this blog and thanks for the efforts being put in by you.

      I am an old investor. Have been doing OK on my own. Have number of shares that are rarely recommended but that keep on doing well. Some of them are
      Akshar Chemical,
      Asahi Songwon,
      Atul Ltd.,
      Bodal Chemicals,
      Hindustan Composites,
      Triton Valves,
      TVS Srichakra Tyres etc.

      I bought all of these almost 3/4 years ago at very low prices.

      I also own some better known names

      SRF,
      Visaka Industries,
      Sintex

      And made some good money trading in Trigyn Technology and V2 Retail in last 1 year.

      In addition to these I also hold a Co. called Panasonic Carbon Ltd., I am unable to figure out the reason for this share to be in a range of Rs. 450 to Rs. 500 almost for 3 years despite Small Equity, Low PE (15), no debt, MNC promoters (75%). I am very patient about my investments and will wait till the market starts recognising its strengths. Would like to know your view on it if you can spare some time, kind of an expert opinion.

      I also have a very intriguing holding in Thomas Cook, where I tripled my investment in initial 2 years but have been stagnating for over 2 years. Other than great pedigree, its holding in Quess is unbelievable value. Its a market leader in its field. Performance have been lacklustre but potential is huge. Hence continuing to hold. Would like to have your view on that too, if possible.

      Thanks once again.

      1. Panasonic Carbon’s non-performance on the stock market is quite baffling as it does tick all the boxes to make a good investment. Appears to be a classic ‘value trap’ stock.

        As regards Thomas Cook, perhaps the reason for the initial excitement was the statement by Prem Watsa that Thomas Cook would be used as a vehicle to fund investments into India. That appears to have changed in some subtle way. Also, the stock is presently quoting at a P/E of nearly 100x. This is an expensive valuation by any standard. It is normal for such high P/E stocks to stagnate.

    2. Shalibhadra finance is too small a company (m-cap Rs. 46 cr) with low trading volume for an investor to be able to invest meaningful capital. Such small cap stocks are also subject to violent fluctuations in prices. The other stocks are good quality and well managed mid-caps which can be expected to compound slowly and steadily.

    3. Barring Shalibhadra finance, all the other stocks are good companies. Shalibhadra finance has a market capitalisation of only Rs. 50 crore and this may make it vulnerable to adverse market forces. Also, the trading volume is low (average volume is only 2000 shares). So, there can be violent price movements which may unnerve investors. Generally speaking, it is better to invest in stocks with a market capitalisation of at least Rs. 200 crore and sufficient liquidity.

  17. I hold the following should i stick to them or sell. can u suggest midcap stks

    1. Tinplate
    2, PTC fin
    3. suzlon
    4. exide
    5. DB Reality
    6. Piramal
    7. HCC
    8. ITC
    9.KRBL
    10. Texmaco
    11.wockhardt
    12. Sun Pharma
    13. KPIT
    14. GHCL

    1. It looks like a nicely balanced portfolio. There are stocks from the Pharma, metals, NBFC, energy, auto ancillary, realty, FMCG, Agriculture and chemicals. The stocks chosen are also good from the fundamentals and valuations perspective.

    1. The business model of Lycos Internet is to offer services relating to internet advertisements, digital marketing, software (email, search, hosting, online games), etc. It is a highly competitive business with low margins. Also, the fate of internet advertisement is not clear given the rise of ad blockers. Also, Google has itself announced that the Chrome browser will come with a pre-installed ad blocker. All these factors have made investors nervous about the stock.

  18. Hi Michael
    Ur views are very informative and backed by crisp and strong fundamentals
    I want to invest 3 Lacs in a Bucket of stocks (IDFC Bank, Manappuram Finance, Kwality Dairy, Berger paints, Jindal steel, Capital First) for 2-3 years.
    Please suggest!
    Also, share any other midcaps from multiabgger perspective.

    1. These stocks are good. However, one should aim to create a buy-n-hold balanced portfolio having regard to the valuations of the stock. Berger Paints, for instance, is a high-quality stock but is already quoting at a P/E of 52x. There may not be much scope for P/E re-rating at this stage. On the other hand, a disappointment in growth or earnings could cost the stock dear. From the building materials sector, there are a number of smaller companies like Century Plyboards, Everest Industries, Visaka, Shalimar Paints etc, which will also prosper due to urbanization etc. A basket of these stocks may give better returns than a blue-chip like Berger Paints.

      Housing Finance and NBFCs (like DHFL and Capital First) will also benefit from the urbanization theme.

      Jindal Steel has almost doubled in the last year on the back of the entire sector being re-rated. There is also the anti-dumping duty on steel products which has improved sentiment. However, commodity stocks (esp steel stocks) are highly suspectible to economic trends and one never knows when the cycle can change.

      As it is not possible for us to monitor trends in commodity prices, it may be better to invest in “secular growth” stocks which are not dependent on global economic factors.

  19. Hi Michael,
    Many thanks for all your comments & suggestions!!
    The following are some of the stocks which i have started accumulating and planning to add more on dips.

    Force motors
    LT Foods
    D-Link India
    Fedders Lloyd
    Natco Pharma
    Mayur Uniquoters
    RBL bank
    Vindhya Telelinks
    Zee media corporation

    What is your call on these?Can I go ahead?

    1. The stocks are good but the concern at this stage is really about their valuations. Natco Pharma, for instance is quoting at a P/E of 44x while RBL Bank is quoting at a P/BV of 5.67x. While the companies have an excellent track record of performance, the valuations leave no margin for error. If Natco Pharma faces hostile US FDA action or if RBL Bank has a NPA problem, there could be an erosion in value. Also, the expectation which is built in the valuation is that the growth will continue to be at the scorching pace. If the growth slows down, there could be time correction in the stock. We can see this happen in other high P/E stocks such as Page Industries which have remained flat or in Kitex Garments which have lost value.

      Having said that, it is true that these are still young companies and have a long way to go before they face roadblocks in growth. So, the best strategy would be to accumulate them slowly and steadily, whenever there are dips in the stock price.

  20. Hi Michael,

    I am a regular follower of the blogs in this forum & I can see lot of valuable comments from your side. I need a bit favour from you. Following are the stocks of my holding which for last so many months donot give any return nor sign of recovery. Can you plz suggest me if I should continue in holding them or should I come out of these stocks bearing loss ? Will be appreciated if you can suggest some estimated holding period if you see fundamental recover ?

    Company Name Average Holding Cost Price
    AMARA RAJA BATTERIES LTD 949.71
    TATA MOTORS LIMITED 512.26
    ADITYA BIRLA MONEY LTD 69.75
    AXIS BANK LIMITED 546.22
    BANK OF BARODA 199.52
    CAPITAL FIRST LIMITED 782.85
    EQUITAS HOLDINGS LIMITED 187.77
    ICICI BANK LIMITED 351.68
    MANAPPURAM FINANCE LIMITED 98.64
    UJJIVAN FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD 452.08
    MADRAS FERTILIZERS LIMITED 28.8
    HOUSING DEVELOPMENT & INFRASTR 90.86
    SHANKARA BUILDING PRODUCTS LTD 756.54
    GE T&D INDIA LIMITED 462.4
    PRAJ INDUSTRIES LIMITED 100.18
    8K MILES SOFTWARE SERVICES LIM 699.99
    HCL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED 889.2
    INFOSYS LTD 1174.74
    KPIT TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED 158.94
    MINDTREE LIMITED 587.44
    RAMCO SYSTEMS LIMITED 671.79
    ROLTA INDIA LTD 159.15
    TATA ELXSI LIMITED 1802.47
    TECH MAHINDRA LIMITED 601.04
    EROS INTERNATIONAL MEDIA LIMIT 303.32
    COAL INDIA LIMITED 353.67
    WELSPUN CORP LIMITED 122.19
    AUROBINDO PHARMA LTD 797.73
    CIPLA LIMITED 705.39
    GLENMARK PHARMACEUTICALS LTD 903.21
    LUPIN LIMITED 1654.51
    NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LIMITED 329.2
    RPG LIFE SCIENCES LIMITED 474.18
    SUN PHARMA ADVANCED RESEARCH C 478.2
    SUN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES 838.28
    SUVEN LIFE SCIENCES LIMITED 222.98
    WOCKHARDT LTD 826.09
    HPL ELECTRIC & POWER LIMITED 166.08
    RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTURE LTD 599.18
    SUZLON ENERGY LIMITED 20.81
    AVENUE SUPERMARTS LTD DMART 813.64
    RELIANCE DEFENCE AND ENG LTD 87.51
    TEXMACO RAIL & ENGINEERING LIM 119.91
    TITAGARH WAGONS LIMITED 129.48
    KITEX GARMENTS LTD 420.13
    ABIRLA NUVO 1701.88
    ARVIND 413.65
    ASIAN PAINT 1176.66
    BAJAJ FINSV 4430.06
    BHARAT FIN 782.56
    DELTA CORP 187.56
    DHFL 441.46
    DIVIS LAB 650.61
    DMART 786.64
    FUTURE CONSUMER 34.47
    FUTURE ENTERPRISE 32.87
    FUTURE RETAIL 354.39
    GHCL 270.73
    GRASIM 1182.5
    GRUH 413.98
    GUJARAT FLUORO CHEMICAL 764.85
    HIND ZINC 284.03
    JINDAL STEEEL & POWER 125.1
    MARKSANS 54.01
    MOIL 363.02
    NAGARJUNA FERTILISERS 18.98
    RBLBANK 579.13
    RELIANCE 1424.01
    REPCO HOME FINANCE 773.48
    SHILPI CABLE 94.15
    SHREE CEMENT 19562.61

    1. By and large, the selection of stocks is good. However, the sectors have fallen out of favour. The Pharma sector, for instance, is out of favour owing to the tough stance adopted by the USAFDA. Most companies have received warning letters from the FDA and this has hugely affected their results. We can see this from the results of Lupin. There is a fear psychosis amongst investors about which Pharma Co will face the axe next and so they are avoiding them.

      Similarly, Info-Tech stocks are also out of favour owing to the tough stance adopted by Donald Trump.

      The sectors that are in favour are the financial/ banking sectors. The fertilizer sector stocks are also in demand due to expected reforms in that field. The real estate and allied sectors (tiles, sanitary ware, paints) are also showing strength.

      A sensible strategy would be to reduce the allocation to Pharma and Tech stocks and increase the allocation to financial and fertilizer stocks.

      Federal Bank, Manappuram etc have given good Q4FY17 results which shows that they are in a good sectoral uptrend. It is better to focus on such stocks.

    1. The stock has been in demand ever since Porinju Veliyath recommended it. The promoters have hiked their stake in the March 2017 quarter, which is always a good sign. The theme of corporate hospitals also appears to be a good business model. The Q4FY17 results are expected on 22nd May. Let’s see how the results are and then take a decision.

    2. Hello I have gone through your reply to people’s query and I would say you are putting great time and efforts to reply them which is great value addition for us .
      This prompted me to ask you questions :
      (1) could you suggest best ratio combination for ideal stock to pick : P/E ,P/Bv , Roe , D/E what should be ideal combination of those ratios in stocks .
      (2) is there platform available where we can see latest buy of top investors: like in usa people like buffet and all have to file 13F form when they buy stocks and it’s publicly available so we can follow the experts rather than trying to pick stocks on our own .
      (3) best Blogs , sites and books which you yourself loved and use for your research and knowledge for Indian stocks or overall equity market . Thanks for adding value my friend .

      1. (1) Generally speaking, all ratios have to be used in conjunction because each reflects a different parameter. A stock with low P/E or P/BV and low D/E but with high RoE may be an ideal investment. On the other hand, a stock with high RoE may not be a good investment if it has a high P/E because it suggests that all the positives are priced in and the margin for error is low. Similarly, a high D/E ratio may be good or bad depending on the industry and the terms of the loan. One has to use all ratios judiciously to take an investment decision.

        (2) Under the listing guidelines, companies are required to report the names of the shareholders with more than 1% equity holding. The reports have to be filed on a quarterly basis. The information can be easily traced on the websites of the BSE and the NSE.

        (3) Moneycontrol.com provides basic information relating to a lot of aspects of a stock. forum.valuepickr.com contains good indepth discussion on selected stocks. The members are knowledgeable and helpful. screener.in is ideal if one is inclined to make a shortlist of stocks on specified parameters.

        1. Michael thanks for reply …
          can you please send me NSE /BSE link where I CAN see 1% more holding for latest quarter .. you can email me .

  21. sir i am new on the stock market i wants to invest 10 stocks in equity for 3 years can any suggest me to make a portfolio with 2 lakh capital

    1. The markets are quite heated at present and a correction may be around the corner. For a new investor, it is best to adopt the SIP route to invest. I suggest you choose a good diversified fund and invest a small sum on a monthly basis. The advantage of this is that if the stock markets fall, you will get more units for the same amount of money. If you continue doing this for a long period of time, you can hope to make 20-25% CAGR which is an excellent return to get.

  22. hi Michael – nice simple site with good analysis. I am looking for some help to understand on how to take an investment call between a company like Tata Global (M-Cap 9K, Profits 560 CR) vs Johnson Hitachi (M-Cap 5K, Profits 50CR)…so understand that’s it easier for Johnson to double its M-Cap from current level compared to Tata Global…but from the price point Tata Global at 150 vs Johnson Hitachi at 1900….as a hi risk appetite investor (can hold for more than 3 years) not able to decide which makes more sense…

    1. The business profiles of the two companies are not comparable. TGBL is a FMCG company selling tea etc while Johnson Controls sells white goods like A/cs. TGBL is quoting at a P/E of 18x while Johnson Controls is at a P/E of 70x. There is cut throat competition in the A/c market with aggressive Korean and MNC players like Whirlpool, Samsung, LG etc apart from local players like Videocon etc. In contrast, TGBL has relatively strong brands with lesser competition. Johnson Controls has shot up in the past three months owing to the summer demand for A/cs. This demand may have peaked and now reduce.

      1. Thanks Michael…so if I had 5 lakhs to invest…then is above information sufficient to take a long term view(say 3 to 5 years) on either of these stocks or would you suggest a basket having both (or a different multibagger basket)

  23. Hey Michael, hope you are doing great!
    Few of stocks from my portfolio did not give a penny since 2 years. Look at the below scrips and advise me should I hold or accumulate more. Also please suggest few stocks which has good potential to grow. I can hold 15yrs or more..

    Coal India: 308
    Cipla: 662

    1. Selling Coal India at this stage does not make sense. On the other hand it is a good buy because the valuations are so low that there is no downside risk. There is also a dividend yield of 8.5% which is attractive by any standards. If there is a correction and there is a risk-off mood, Coal India will come back into demand.

      Cipla is in the same position now. There is so much antipathy towards Pharma stocks owing to the FDA related problems that investors are unwilling to buy them. These are also good contrarian buys given that they have a robust business model, are debt-free, have high RoEs, free cash flows and the demand for medicine and drugs will never cease.

    1. Can Fin Homes is a good stock though the valuations at 7.9x PBV are much higher than that of its peers. Much of the positives may be already priced in. This reduces the margin of safety and can also cap the upside. DHFL appears to be the cheapest in the HFC space though its return ratios are not comparable to that of Can Fin.

      Escorts does look like a good stock given the scope for agricultural tractors and the dominance of the Company in the field.

      Dilip Buildcon has been doing well in the infrastructure space though there are all sorts of rumors about the stock and its management. It is better to limit the allocation of capital to the stock.

    1. All three are good stocks. DHFL is the cheapest amongst the housing finance companies in terms of the P/BV valuation. It also offers a dividend yield of nearly 2%. Karnataka Bank is also cheap in comparison to its peers in the private banking space. It has ambitious plans for growth of its branches across the Country. Both will do well as the demand for credit is ever increasing. Sintex is the market leader in water storage tanks. It will do well as the urbanisation boom is increasing by leaps and bounds. The demerger of the non-textile business should improve the ratios and lead to a re-rating. There are also talks of a stake sale with TPG Capital, Blackstone, Carlyle etc which will keep the stock in demand. The best strategy is to buy these stocks slowly and steadily and whenever there is a dip in the stock prices.

  24. Hello Michael,

    This is the very good informative article and very well articulated.

    Currently I am planning to invest in Manappuram Finance for the timespan of 3-5 years.

    Can you please share your review on Manappuram Finance.

    Thanks

    1. Manappuram Finance is a good stock to hold in a long-term portfolio. It has good management in VP Nandakumar. The dependence on gold lending was earlier a big risk. However, the Company has taken concerted efforts to reduce the dependence on gold financing. The loan to value (LTV) has also been reduced so as to increase the margin of safety. The Company enjoys good RoE and NIMs. There are no NPA concerns either at present. The stock should give compounded returns of 20-25%, which is a good return to get.

  25. Hi

    I am thinking of investing on potential sectors. Should I invest in the following and for what period

    Housing Finace: LIC Housing Finance, Indiabulls Hosuing Finance, LIC Housing Finance, GIC osuing Finance, CANFIN Homes, PNB Housing Finace

    Agri: Jain Irrigation (I have no idea about other potential stocks)

    Fertilizers: No Idea

    Financial Services: Edelweiss

    PSU Banks: Yes Bank, Kotak Mhaindra Bank, Federal Bank

    Please suggest

    1. In the housing finance sector, all the stocks listed by you are good. PNB Housing Finance has a slight edge over the others because of the impending stake sale announced by PNB. When talks of that stake sale strengthen, one can expect the stock to show strength.

      In the agri and fertilizers space, Coromandel Fertilizers is a good choice. It is a blue chip company of the reputed Murugappa group. It should do well in the initiatives of the Govt to increase rural income and provide Direct Transfer Subsidy.

      Jain Irrigation is banking on the restructuring and debt reduction happening. It recently won a Rs. 570 crore order from the Karnataka Govt. if similar orders come from the other State Governments, the stock will be in demand.

      In the financial services space, Edelweiss is a very good choice. It has visionary management in Rashesh Shah and has ambitious expansion plans. It should continue to do well.

      In the banking space, it is better to stick to the private banks because they are more efficient than their PSU counterparts. In the PSU Banks, one has no grip on the NPAs and whether it will flare up once again (there may be loan waivers etc). Banks like Federal Bank, Karnataka Bank, Lakhsmi Vilas, City Union Bank etc are good choices for the portfolio.

      1. Thanks a lot. Please answer another question which I think is already in many others mind ….. I have applied for hudco ipo, but think I would not even a single lot and probably it will list in .market nearly 100% higher. So, if it reaches rs 100/120 on listing day , I invest for long term or wait to come it down to some level

        1. The general tendency is for a stock to cool down a few days after listing because a number of investors who apply for the IPO with borrowed funds are keen to sell the stock and repay the loans. It is better to avoid buying on the listing day itself and instead it is better to wait patiently for the stock to correct.

  26. I hold the following stocks which should I hold. I wanted two multibagger stock in my portfolio rest all stokcs to be a safer bet.
    pls let me know which I can remove and add.
    I hold th following bought at the rates mentioned.
    1)bharat financial rate 857/-
    2)ceat 987/-
    3)century 575/-
    4)care 986/-
    5)dishtv 58/-
    6)india bulls realestate 80/-
    7)jain irrigation 67/-
    8)Jindal steel 82/-
    9)mmtc 90/-
    10)obero realty 248/-
    11)pnb glits 53/-
    12) rattan power at 45/-
    13)reliance capital at 353/-
    14)relian indus. infra(riil) – 400/-
    15)ruchira papers 113/-
    16)sintex 103/-
    20)spicejet 82/-
    21) summet industries 33/-
    22)federal bank 82/-
    23)Lakshmi vilas bank 166/-
    24)trident 82/-
    my value is 7.8 lacs as of now. how much percentage of the value I should shift to two multi bagger stocks

      1. Buying Pharma stocks when they are in US FDA related troubles is a good strategy because a high quality stock with good management, high RoE, free cash flows, good dividend payout etc is available at low valuations. However, the period of time that it will take for the Company to resolve the FDA problem is not known. It can take several years as it is doing in the case of IPCA Labs. There is also the opportunity cost of money to be considered. Also, it is not known whether the problems will recur and the FDA may issue another FDA alert. These uncertainties have made the Pharma stocks lose favour amongst investors. If there are other stocks that can give 20-30% returns (such as housing finance companies), that may be preferable over Pharma companies.

    1. “I wanted two multibagger stock in my portfolio”

      You will know whether a stock turned out to be a winner only in hindsight. It is not possible to predict in advance which stock will outperform its peers. The best strategy is to buy a basket of stocks which have a good track record of growth and profitability and hope that a few of them turn out to be outperformers and create wealth.

      Your choice of stocks is quite good. You have a well diversified portfolio which should be able to outperform.

    2. SINCERE THANKS FOR YOUR REPLY.

      i would like to have your views on MMTC.How well it will perfrom in the coming years. like to know the reason why it went up to yearly highs . is it due to the disinvestmet call by previous govt or earnings will improve as the economy is growing. who are the peers for this company. “should I hold or sell since I bought MMTC at 90.”

      1. All metal stocks were heavily oversold and have rebounded sharply. However, the problem with metal stocks (and other commodities stocks) is that it cannot be predicted which way the cycle will turn. Even a slight dip in the global economy can weaken these stocks and vice-versa. Generally speaking, normal investors are better off avoiding commodity stocks and instead investing in secular growth stocks where there is steady demand from all sections of the economy. However, there are occasions when the metal stocks get oversold to an extent where the rewards heavily outweigh the risks. Buying these stocks at that time makes sense because the margin of safety is high.

        1. Pls give your views on
          1)summet industries which I hold at 33.
          2)spicejet . does gove have any plans/policies of bringing down or regularizing atf prices. whats the expectation from this share.
          3)PTc india financials whats the future can it be a multi bagger.

    3. Also I would like to know which is the sector which will be benefited first.
      QUESTION :”is which first two sectors will go up first. which sector will move first.” If an economy is growing definetlyy all share will move up but which sector shares will move 1st and second.

      I hope the answer for this will definitely differentiate me from other investor and make me first in earning money which is more important to make money first. because every share/ sector will make money. but which first two sectors will go up first.

      Also pls comment on MMTC Share also.

      1. Generally speaking, the banking and the financial services sector are the first to feel the impact of an economic growth or slowdown. This is because interest rates are instrumental in setting the pace of the economic growth. When the interest rates are low, the consumption power of the consumers goes up (because they can borrow more at low rates). This creates an impetus for more production and in turn a demand for money to buy assets, set up factories etc. This is also why the banking and financial services sector has outperformed the other sectors and grown in a consistent and predictable manner.

        1. next to banking and finacial which is the sector which will move first. if you see oil has moved secondly i predict brokerage ,realestate,and raw materials trading firm should go up. with your expert views generally list the sectors to grow after banking.

    1. Well, it is really not possible to find multibagger stocks on a monthly basis. The sensible strategy is to buy a portfolio of stocks which are growing at 15-20 CAGR and hold them tight. If the markets correct severely (as it happened during demonetization), the stocks should be bought aggressively. That is the only realistic way of making wealth through stocks.

  27. Hi,
    This is Manoj here .I would like to express my thanks and relief to you on the query about FIEM industries about a month back.Your reply was..
    ”It is difficult to time the market. Fiem is a good company, with good management and good track record. It is better to buy in SIP mode so that if the price falls further, you have money to buy more stocks.”
    Now I am holding this @910 on the profit side by adding it on SIP mode.
    This time I would like to get a clarification on Divis lab & Dish tv.
    Would you recommend to buy Divis at this level for 2 years time frame?Is it bottomed out considering the fundamentals?
    I am holding Dish tv @99.Can I hold this as the merger with Videocon is on the cards?
    Any impact on Dish TV on the back of the news about Reliance digital TV?

    Thanks & Regards
    Manoj

    1. “I am holding this @910 on the profit side”

      The period is too short to start counting profit and loss. That is the mentality of a trader and not of an investor.

      Fiem is still a small-cap with a market capitalization of only Rs. 1300 crore. It is a high quality company but requires to be held for a couple of years for the benefits of compounding to work its magic. It has a long way to go before one can start thinking of cashing in on gains.

      “Would you recommend to buy Divis at this level for 2 years time frame”

      Divis is a high quality company. However, the problem is that the uncertainty over when the FDA problems will be resolved will keep the stock sluggish. Also, even if the problems are resolved, the fear that it may recur in the form of another FDA warning will be an overhang for the stock. If you can find a secular growth stock that is growing at a slow but consistent rate and available at reasonable valuations, that may be a better choice.

  28. DearSir,

    I would like to hold the following stock for next 56 years,Pls advise

    S.NO Script
    1 Ramco Cements
    2 Ceat
    3 KTK Bank
    4 KEC Intl
    5 Kpr Mill
    6 KCP Ltd
    7 Lakshmi Vilas bank
    8 PFS
    9 Va Tech Bag
    10 Techno Electric
    11 Repco Home
    12 BBTC
    13 Mahindra Holidays
    14 HSIL
    15 Tata Coffee
    16 Suprajit Engg
    17 Dishman Pharma
    18 All Cargo
    19 Bajaj Electricals
    20 Trident

    21 DHFL
    22 GAEL
    23 JK Paper
    24 Sterrling Tools
    25 Zee Enterprises
    26 LIC Hsg Finance
    27 Havells India
    28 Nitin Spinners Ltd
    29 VST Tillers Tractors
    30 Bharat Electronics

    1. You have a good selection of stocks. All the stocks are midcaps and of high quality. There are no dubious penny stocks or micro caps in the portfolio. If you can stay invested in these stocks for a long period of time, you will create serious wealth through compounding.

    1. I advise an investment in a diversified mutual fund. I suggest you adopt the SIP method and invest Rs. 1,000 or 2,000 per month. The stock market is very heated at present and a correction is possible.

  29. Hi I am holding the following stocks, plz advise which one to remove and which I can hold for next 2-3 years.

    8K MILES SOFTWARE SERVICES LIM 774.38
    ACC LIMITED 1506.42
    ADANI TRANSMISSION LIMITED 64.8
    ADVANCED ENZYME TECHNO LTD 2098.06
    AJANTA PHARMA LTD 1900.74
    ALKEM LABORATORIES LIMITED 2179.95
    GE T&D INDIA LIMITED 517.44
    AMARA RAJA BATTERIES LTD 949.71
    AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD 243.28
    ASHOKA BUILDCON LIMITED 195.11
    ASHOK LEYLAND LTD 97.05
    ASIAN GRANITO INDIA LIMITED 275.13
    ASTEC LIFESCIENCES LIMITED 618.08
    ASTRA MICROWAVE PRODUCTS LTD 119.97
    AUROBINDO PHARMA LTD 797.73
    AVANTI FEEDS LTD 689.35
    AXIS BANK LIMITED 546.22
    BAJAJ ELECTRICALS LIMITED 319.1
    BANK OF BARODA 199.52
    BEML LIMITED 1269.96
    BHARAT ELECTRONICS LTD 156.01
    CADILA HEALTHCARE LIMITED 440.03
    CAPITAL FIRST LIMITED 716.63
    CIPLA LIMITED 705.39
    COAL INDIA LIMITED 353.67
    CG POWER AND IND SOLUTIONS LTD 76.97
    DEEPAK FERTILIZERS &PETROCHEMI 252.22
    DISHMAN PHARMACEUTICALS & CHEM 282.97
    EDELWEISS FINANCIAL SERVICES L 88.94
    EQUITAS HOLDINGS LIMITED 187.77
    EROS INTERNATIONAL MEDIA LIMIT 330.85
    ESCORTS LIMITED 515.85
    FORCE MOTORS LIMITED 4524.65
    GAYATRI PROJECTS LIMITED 141.61
    GEOMETRIC LIMITED 233.26
    GLENMARK PHARMACEUTICALS LTD 950.33
    GUJARAT NARMADA FER & CHEM LTD 269.51
    GRANULES INDIA LIMITED 133.28
    GUJARAT STATE FERTILIZERS & CH 125.51
    HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED 432.83
    HBL POWER SYSTEMS LIMITED 43
    HCL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED 889.2
    HEIDELBERG CEMENT INDIA LTD 123.14
    HPL ELECTRIC & POWER LIMITED 166.08
    HSIL LIMITED 325.85
    ICICI BANK LIMITED 351.68
    IDFC LIMITED 64.26
    INDIABULLS REAL ESTATE LIMITED 88.67
    INFOSYS LTD 1174.74
    INSECTICIDES INDIA LTD 554.07
    INTERGLOBE AVIATION LIMITED 993.13
    IRB INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPERS 230.9
    ITD CEMENTATION INDIA LIMITED 157.6
    JAIN IRRIGATION SYSTEMS LTD 93.24
    JK CEMENT LIMITED 893.98
    JK LAKSHMI CEMENT LIMITED 391.74
    JUBILANT LIFE SCIENCES LIMITED 796.3
    KAJARIA CERAMICS LTD 569.98
    KALPATARU POWER TRANSMISSION L 276.76
    KEC INTERNATIONAL LTD (FORMER 197.43
    KPIT TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED 158.94
    LARSEN AND TOUBRO LIMITED 1569.54
    LAURUS LABS LIMITED 530.07
    LUPIN LIMITED 1704.57
    MADHUCON PROJECTS LIMITED 55.19
    MAHANAGAR GAS LIMITED 708.68
    MANAPPURAM FINANCE LIMITED 98.64
    MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD 5968.82
    MINDTREE LIMITED 587.44
    MOTHERSON SUMI SYSTEMS LIMITED 369.08
    NCC LIMITED 82.54
    NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LIMITED 329.2
    NATCO PHARMA LIMITED 791.77
    NBCC (INDIA) LIMITED 177.01
    NUCLEUS SOFTWARE EXPORTS LTD 280.98
    PRAJ INDUSTRIES LIMITED 100.18
    PRISM CEMENT LIMITED 99.63
    THE RAMCO CEMENTS LIMITED 680.78
    RAMCO SYSTEMS LIMITED 671.79
    RELIANCE DEFENCE AND ENG LTD 87.51
    RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTURE LTD 599.18
    ROLTA INDIA LTD 159.15
    RPG LIFE SCIENCES LIMITED 474.18
    SAGAR CEMENTS LTD 766.01
    SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC INFRA LTD 150.29
    SHIPPING CORP OF INDIA LT 78.55
    SHARDA CROPCHEM LIMITED 473.12
    SINTEX INDUSTRIES LTD 93.36
    SPICEJET LIMITED 80.13
    STATE BANK OF INDIA 299.77
    STERLITE TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED 124.98
    SUDARSHAN CHEMICAL INDUS LTD 382.53
    SUN PHARMA ADVANCED RESEARCH C 478.2
    SUN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES 838.28
    SUVEN LIFE SCIENCES LIMITED 222.98
    SUZLON ENERGY LIMITED 20.81
    TATA ELXSI LIMITED 1802.47
    TATA MOTORS LIMITED 517.06
    TCI EXPRESS LIMITED 295.53
    TECH MAHINDRA LIMITED 601.04
    TEXMACO RAIL & ENGINEERING LIM 119.91
    THERMAX LTD 1063.72
    TITAGARH WAGONS LIMITED 129.48
    TRANSPORT CORPORATION OF INDIA 359.65
    TRANSFORMERS AND RECTIFIERS (I 380.56
    UJJIVAN FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD 465.46
    ULTRATECH CEMENT LIMITED 3809.07
    UNION BANK OF INDIA 174.03
    UPL LIMITED 707
    VAKRANGEE LIMITED 300.82
    VOLTAS LTD 392.87
    WELSPUN CORP LIMITED 122.19
    WOCKHARDT LTD 826.09
    V-GUARD INDUSTRIES LIMITED 177.92
    COROMANDEL INTERNATIONAL LIMIT 314.99

  30. Dear sir,

    pls give your suggestion to consolidate my portfolio. I have too many stocks , very difficult to follow:

    ISIN SCRIPNAME CURRENT FREE LOCKIN PLEDGE PLEDGESETUP EARMARK PNDG_DEMAT

    INE779A01011 ABC BEARINGS EQTY 200
    INE793A01012 ACCELYA KALE SOL- EQ 100
    INE982B01019 ADF FOODS LIMITED EQ 350
    INE034A01011 ARVIND LIMITED EQ 200
    INE021A01026 ASIAN PAINTS EQ 1/- 50
    INE386C01029 ASTRA MICRO-EQ RS2/- 400
    INE406A01037 AUROBINDO-EQ-RE.1/- 200
    INE794B01026 BALAJI TELE RS 2/- 250
    INE166C01025 BELLARY STEEL-EQ RE1 7500
    INE397D01024 BHARTI AIRTEL-EQ 5 150
    INE029A01011 BPCL EQUITY 150
    INE052I01032 CAMLIN FINE-EQ 500
    INE974B01016 CHEVIOT COMPANY EQTY 10
    INE169A01031 COROMANDEL I EQ RE.1 50
    INE171A01029 FEDERAL BANK EQ 2/- 500
    INE111B01023 FINANCIAL TECH NEW 250
    INE220J01025 FUTURE CONS- EQ 6/- 4000
    INE152B01027 GATI LTD – EQ RS.2/- 150
    INE955D01029 GENUS POWER-EQ 1/- 1500
    INE102D01028 GODREJ CON – EQ RE.1 50
    IN0020160076 GOI 18850 2.5 2024 35
    IN0020150101 GOI 2.75 SGB I 2024 50
    INE224A01026 GREAVES COTTONE EQ 2 250
    INE473B01035 HATSUN AGRO-EQ 1/- 75
    INE040A01026 HDFC BANK EQ 2/- 50
    INE559A01017 IFB INDUSTRIES EQY 50
    INE194C01019 INDAGE VINTNERS LTD 500
    INE312H01016 INOX LEISURE LTD EQ 200
    INE544H01014 JHS SVENDGAARD – EQ 9
    INE614B01018 KARNATAKA BANK LTD 500
    INE760A01029 KOKUYO CAM – EQ RE 1 750
    INE115A01026 LIC HSG FIN RS-2-EQ 100
    INE624M01014 LYKIS LIMITED- EQ 600
    INE998I01010 MAHINDRA HOLIDAY- EQ 150
    INE196A01026 MARICO LIM – EQ RE 1 300
    INE912H01013 MBL INFRA – EQ 1000
    INE018I01017 MINDTREE LIMITED-EQ 200
    INE795A01017 PANASONIC ENERGY-EQ 200
    INE027A01015 RCF EQUITY 250
    INF204K01FI0 RELCAP DBF GR-GROWTH 8878.472
    INE461B01014 REPRO INDIA EQTY 350
    INE058A01010 SANOFI INDIA – EQ 12
    INE439E01022 SKIPPER LTD EQ-RE-1 400
    INE734N01019 SNOWMAN LOGIS- EQ 2250
    INE219H01039 SRS LIMITED-EQ RS10 2000
    INE669C01036 TECH MAHINDRA-EQ 200
    INE621L01012 TEXMACO RAIL&ENGN-EQ 400
    INE149A01025 TUBE INV – EQ RS 2 75
    INE527H01019 UFO MOVIEZ-EQ 100

    INE764D01017 V S T TILLERS TRACTO 25
    INE956G01038 VA TECH WABAG-EQ 2 100
    INE768C01010 ZYDUS WELLNESS LIMIT 125

    1. Generally speaking the quality of stocks in the portfolio cannot be faulted. I suggest you segregate the stocks sector wise (money control has that facility) and see what the percentage of holding is in each sector. This will help to ensure that the Portfolio is evenly balanced. Thereafter, identify the stocks in which the holding is less than a certain threshold, say 3%. You can decide what your conviction level is in the stock and decide to either increase the holding in it or sell it off.

    1. Pasupati Acrylon has been a disappointment in the past despite the huge expectations that were in it. The results are also erratic. Let us see what Q4FY17 brings in and then take a call. Otherwise the demand for acrylic fibre is quite robust. The margins are also decent but require to be sustainable.

    1. This may or may not be the right time to invest because the market is looking quite heated. If there is an earnings disappointment in Q4FY17, the stock market could crash. So, it is better to stay on the sidelines for the present and invest only small amounts. We can take a call after the Q4FY17 result season comes to an end.

    1. If you are new to the stock market, it may not be a sensible strategy to straightaway start picking stocks. It is better to invest slowly by way of a SIP through a diversified mutual fund. Also, the market is looking quite heated presently and it may not be the right time to start investing. If there is an earnings disappointment in Q4FY17, the stock market could crash. It is better to stay on the sidelines for the present and to take a call after the Q4FY17 result season comes to an end.

    1. Axtel industries is a micro-cap with a market capitalisation of only Rs. 100 crore. Such stocks tend to be volatile in their price movements. The stock has given a return of 400% over the last one year. It is advisable to see the fundamental performance of the Company over a couple of quarters before deciding to invest funds in the Company.

      1. Hi, I want to start investing on some safe, high potential small and mid cap stocks for 3 to 5 years. Can you please provide me an ideal list, a best o best list for 10 stocks at this moment according to you

  31. What about cosyn ltd.s
    News from equity intelligence say that it will reach 1500rs by september 2018.is it good to accumulate as porinju sir indicated.

    1. Cosyn is up 1332% over two years and 257% over one year. After such an increase, normally a stock has to cool down and the earnings have to catch up. Much of the expectations about the performance of the Company are already built into the price. So it is better to wait for a few quarters and see how the performance is shaping up before taking the call to invest.

  32. Hi i have just started investing in stock and would like to. Improve my portfolio. Also please suggest how are stock under my portfolio which is as follows
    1. Bharat electronics
    2. ONGC
    3. RURAL ELECTRIFICATION
    4. SUZLON ENERGY

    1. The first three stocks in your portfolio, Bharat Electronics, ONGC and REC, are excellent stocks. These are high-quality PSU stocks which are available at attractive valuations. Each stock is a market leader in its field. These stocks should be held for long periods of time for the compounding gains to show. In Suzlon Energy, everything depends on how they perform in the future. It appears the downside is low while the upside may be high.

  33. I shall get Rs 90,000 in the 3rd week of April 2017 or thereabouts. I wish to invest Rs 30,000 each in 3 stocks, namely Capital First, Nitin Spinners and Sterling Tools. My holding horizon is roughly 3 years. So, is my choice OK or would you like to suggest something else ? Kindly reply… Thank you !

    1. Nitin Spinners is a good stock. It is doing well as the expansions are complete or at an advanced stage of completion. Dolly Khanna has a big holding in Nitin Spinners (see Dolly Khanna Latest Portfolio 2017 http://multibaggerstocks.org/dolly-khanna-latest-portfolio-2017/). The stock has also been recommended by Daljeet Kohli’s IndiaNivesh Securities and East India Securities for a target price of Rs. 150. So, if you have the stock in your portfolio it is advisable to hold it and to add on declines.

  34. HI.. Iam following your site Recently .. very usefull for us like new investors. 🙂

    i have these below following shares. but iam little nervous wether i’ve chosen right shares or not ? .. can you please suggest me.

    DLF
    JKTYRE
    INOXWIND
    COALINDIA
    BSLIMITED
    GMRINFRA
    BHEL
    SJVN

    1. DLF, Coal India and BHEL are blue-chip large-cap stocks. These are safe stocks. However, there are better blue-chip stocks available in the mid-cap stocks which offer similar degree of safety coupled with higher growth. A stock like Century Plyboard, for example, has a track record of a couple of decades and has a respected management. It has a consistent dividend track record. It can also be considered as a “blue-chip” from the mid-cap space. The same can be said for Transport Corp, HSIL, Cera Sanitaryware, Kajaria Ceramics, Trident Ltd, ADF Foods, Heritage Foods, Oriental Carbon, Prima Plastics and other similar stocks. So, a basket of top-quality small-cap and mid-cap stocks, bought during declines, will give more returns over the next five years as compared to large-cap stocks.

  35. Hi sir, what are you views about capital first, tci xpress & pricol. You have mentioned capital first in your multibagger list as well. Also, what targets one can expect from these shares? Also, promoter holding is less in pricol & promoter has further reduced their stake. What are your views on that?

    1. Capital First is an excellent stock in my view. V Vaidyanathan, the CEO, stated that the Company will grow at about 25% over the next 4-5 years. The company’s rating has been upgraded to AAA status. Margins have improved by 100 basis points as cost of funds have come down by 50-75 basis point. If the stock becomes the “next Bajaj Finance”, the sky is the limit for it. TCI Express is also an excellent stock to hold in the portfolio. Good, venerable management. The logistics business will grow rapidly as e-com grows. Pricol is also a good stock though I prefer Sterling Tools because the promoters hold upto 75% of the equity and Dolly Khanna and Anil Kumar Goel are invested in it. The equity capital of Rs. 6.8 crore of Sterling Tools is also very low compared to its market capitalisation of Rs. 700 crore.

      1. Hi Michael, I am new to stock market and trying to learn.
        Have a query related to Capital First.
        The debt on the balance sheet is close to 8000+ cr, is that something we should consider before investing in this company from a long term point of view.
        Please provide your inputs on the same.

        1. For a Bank or a NBFC, money is the raw material that they deal in. Their source of income is the difference between the interest they pay on the borrowings and the interest they receive on the lendings (NIMs or Net Interest Margins). The higher the NIM, the higher is the profit. The size of the borrowing is per se not a cause for concern. What has to be seen is how of the money is returned by the borrowers. In other words, the NPAs (Non-Performing Assets or Bad Debts) can make or break the Bank or NBFC. HDFC Bank is so highly valued because it has very low NPAs. On the other hand, PSU Banks are valued low because their NPAs are very high.

          The concept of valuation of banks and financial institutions is explained by Prof Aswath Damodaran in an article which can be downloaded from here: http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pdfiles/papers/finfirm09.pdf

  36. Sir,as per your guidence,I have bought shares cupid@310,fiemindustries@889, lypsa gems@69 and one more share is ginni filament@35.14. And waiting correction for panama petro , fiberweb india & trident. Is it ok ?

  37. My name is Manoj and I am following you on this for the last few months.
    Is it right time to enter into FIEM now, or it has some more down side left?
    Can you also advise on RS software & texmaco rail as both had corrected a lot .

    1. “Is it right time to enter into FIEM now, or it has some more down side left?”

      It is difficult to time the market. Fiem is a good company, with good management and good track record. It is better to buy in SIP mode so that if the price falls further, you have money to buy more stocks.

      You can also look at Minda Industries. It is doing very well on the operational front and also on the stock market front. It is a good buy on declines.

      “Can you also advise on RS software & texmaco rail as both had corrected a lot”

      RS Software’s business model is not clear after it lost VISA as a client. The stock was in demand because of demonetisation/ e-governance etc. However, unless the earnings reflect the growth and profitability, the stock price cannot move.

      Texmaco Rail is a heavy industry stock. Such stocks require very heavy growth in the economy to thrive. It is a very good stock but will require a lot of patience. The increase in the stock price will also be slow in comparison to other stocks which are not so heavily dependent on the heavy economy.

  38. Is the bull run in specialty chemicals stocks over? They are showing signs of weakness? Is the disrupted Chinese production back on track? What are the outlook for these stocks?

    1. The prices of chemicals had increased because Hubei Chuyuan, a Chinese giant manufacturer, had suspended operations due to the directives of the Government. However, in January 2017, Hubei Chuyuan has restarted production. The increase in supply will lead to softening of prices for chemicals like H-Acid, Vinyl Sulphone, intermediate etc. So, it is possible that the trend may change in the future.

    1. These are very good stocks for long-term investors. Presently, the fear of the FDA and of Donald Trump’s policies has caused all Pharma stocks to fall out of favour. However, this is the opportunity for long-term investors to buy.

  39. I have the following shares and would like to hold for at least 5 years.Would like to know if they can give multibagger returns.
    i have been holding last two years ,request you to suggest need to change any of them.

    ADF FOODS LIMITED 100
    CHENNAI PETROLEUM CORPORATION LTD. 230
    CUBICAL FINANCIAL SERVICES LIMITED 4
    DCB BANK LIMITED EQ 90
    DISH TV INDIA LIMITED 110
    DISHMAN PHARMACEUTICALS AND CHEMICAL 180
    GVK POWER & INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED 6.35
    HBL POWER SYSTEMS LIMITED 40.00
    HIMACHAL FUTURISTIC COMMUNICATIONS 14.50
    IDBI BANK LIMITED EQ 85.15
    IDFC BANK LIMITED 61.65
    IDFC LIMITED 54.85
    INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK 28.20
    KWALITY LIMITED 137.75
    NARAYANA HRUDAYALAYA LIMITED 334.05
    PENNAR INDUSTRIES LIMITED 43
    PITTI LAMINATIONS LIMITED 50
    PNB GILTS LIMITED 40
    SHREE RENUKA SUGARS LIMITED 15
    RASOYA PROTEINS 1.50
    SUZLON ENERGY LIMITED 20
    TVS ELECTRONICS LIMITED 200
    UNION BANK OF INDIA 187

    KM SUGAR 22
    NETVISTAIT 3.72
    VIJAY TX 50
    ASHOK LEYLAND 90
    IBVENTURES 50
    SYNCOMF 2.00
    MARKANS PHRAMA 50
    NAHA POLY 70
    VEER ENRGY 25
    ALOK INDUSRTIES 3.00
    BPL 70

    1. I think commodity stocks like sugar are avoidable because they are cyclical stocks. Some stocks appear to be low quality e.g. Cubical is a penny stock. GVK Power, HBL Power etc also appear to have doubtful pedigree. I suggest you create a filter that only stocks with a RoE in excess of 15% over the past two years, with a debt-free status or a low-debt status will be considered. This will eliminate loss making concerns and junk stocks. You can invest 80% in such high quality companies and keep the balance of 20% for investing in unproven stocks which may become multibaggers.

    1. Such stocks are not investment worthy and cannot create serious wealth in the long run. It is better to invest only in companies with a proven track record, high ROE and with management of good pedigree.

  40. Myself Uday I am a new Investor to stock market. I have just booked profit of 28k in idea share and I am really happy and want to invest more.i am looking for multibagger stocks Can you suggest some for me.

    1. Congrats for the heavy gains. Hope there will be many more to come your way 🙂 I suggest you build a complete portfolio with small and mid-cap stocks from various sectors. In the NBFC space, Manappuram Finance is a good choice. It has Dolly Khanna as a major shareholder. You can also look at Prima Plastics, TCI Express, Veto Switchgears, L&T Finance Holdings. These are well managed companies with an excellent track record for growth and profitability. Good Luck!

    1. SH Kelkar is an excellent small-cap engaged in the manufacture of fragrances which are used in a variety of products. The Company has a long track record of growth and profitability. The Company is one of the largest domestic fragrance and flavour companies by revenue with a market share of 12% in CY13. The estimated size of Indian fragrance industry and Indian flavour industry was ~Rs 2090 crore and ~Rs 1715 crore, respectively, in CY14. It is the largest domestic fragrance producer with a market share of 20.5% in CY13. It exports its fragrance products to 52 countries. Fragrance It has four manufacturing facilities in Raigad and Mumbai in Maharashtra, Vapi in Gujarat and Barneveld in the Netherlands with a total installed manufacturing capacity of ~19800 tonnes annually. So, it is a very good investment candidate stock.

  41. I have the following shares and would like to hold for 1 years. would like to know if they can give multibagger returns. Do I need to change any ?

    1) Meghmani Organics
    2) NBCC
    3) Linc Pen and Plastics
    4) Redington (India)
    5) Prakash Industries
    6) SJVN
    7) Fedders Lloyd

    1. All the stocks are of very high quality. They will do well over time. However, one year is a very short period for the stocks to show their mettle. You have to hold for at least three or five years for the gains to compound.

    1. Congrats for deciding to invest in equities. If you are young in age, it is better to think long term of three to five years rather than just for one year. There are several top-quality small and mid-cap stocks that you can look at. Look at stocks like Astec Lifesciences, Apcotex, Cosmo films, Cera Sanitaryware, Kajaria Ceramics, Manappuram, L&T Finance, Adani Transmission, Minda Industries, Apar, Fiem Industries, Prima plastic, SP Apparels, Shaily Eng, Srikalahasti Pipes, TCI Express, Veto Switchgear etc.

    1. All three are very good stocks. Excellent management capabilities and good product line up. I would have no hesitation in buying these stocks. They are bound to do well over the next three to five years.

  42. I have the following shares and would like to hold for at least 5 years.Would like to know if they can give multibagger returns. Do I need to change any ?

    1.Bharat electronics(Bel) at 1214
    2.Pnbhousing at 835
    3.Atul auto at 617
    4.Bhageria industries at 158
    5.Bpl at 76
    6.Equitas at 120
    7.L and T at 992
    8.Mayur uniquoters at 435
    9.Motherson sumi at 339
    10.Persistent Systems at 670
    11.Shakti pump at 222
    12.Sun pharma 743
    13.Trf at 393
    14.Ujivan at 210
    15.V guard at 163
    16.Gabriel India
    17.Plastiblend at 490
    18.Apar industries at 638
    19.Sterlite technologies at 111
    20.Eros media at 176
    21.Icici prudential at 354.5

    Im thinking of buying LICHFL and Bhel by selling some of these stocks. Please suggest.

    1. Do you really want to keep the large-cap stocks like L&T, Sun Pharma etc in the portfolio? These can be replaced with mid-cap stocks which are of equal credibility in terms of management quality but with better growth prospects. The existing mid-cap and small-cap stocks in the portfolio are of good quality. You can consider allocating the funds from the large-caps to these stocks.

  43. I have the following shares and would like to hold for 4-5 years. would like to know if they can give multibagger returns. Do I need to change any ?

    1. ADF Foods at Rs 129/-.
    2. Astec Lifesciences at Rs 230/-
    3.ABFRL at 152/-
    4. Apcotex at 320/-
    5. Cosmo films at 396/-
    6.Manappuram at 78.5/-.
    7. Minda Industries at Rs 310/-
    8. Omkar Special at 163/-
    9.Prima plastic at Rs 234/-
    10. Repro India at Rs 427/-
    11. Ruchira at Rs 116/-
    13.SP Apparels at 331/-
    14.Shree Pushkar at 126/-
    15. Shaily Eng at 520/-
    16/-Srikalahasti Pipes at 317-
    18.TCI Express at 320/-
    19. TCI at 160/-
    20.Vetoswitchgear at 157/-

    1. It is a superb portfolio of the best small and mid-cap stocks. I want to use it as a Model portfolio. The only change is that I would remove TCI because TCI Express is already there and it may be a duplication.

  44. I have following shares and would like to hold for at least 2 years please offer your remarks. Whether these can become mtibaggers?

    1. Geecee Ventures at 133

    2.Kanpur plastipack at Rs. 100

    3.Sree Rayalaseema Hypo at 136

    4.PNB gilts at Rs. 46

    5.Rishiroop at 38

    6.Swasti vinayaka art and heritage at 3.20

    7.Nitin spinners at 70

    1. Sir which one is best housing finane sector next five years DHFL or GRUH finance?Balaji telifilm is it good stock to invest for long term?plz advice me

    1. Ester Industries is a good stock for investment. Ashish Kacholia has invested in 1,503,121 shares in December 2016 quarter.

      Ester Industries plans to spend Rs 50 cr for new R&D centre in Gurgaon. It is engaged in the manufacturer of polyester films & engineering plastic compounds. Ester Industries markets its engineering plastics under the brand name Estoplast and production capacity of 16,500 MTPA.

      However, the Company has poor return ratios. It has made a loss. If the operations turn profitable it can be a multibagger.

    2. @Jose abraham
      ester is always a inconsistent stock
      like acc, voltas, indian hotel, tin plate, mah seamless, ntpc etc
      erratic and never respect technicals nor fundamental

      Meanwhile i apprecaite you for the tailor made portfolio which even Michel has acknowledged.
      I too from kerala Nri
      what is your email id plz

      regards
      Jacob mathew

    1. TCS is a blue chip mega cap with market capitalisation of 450,725 crore. Over two years the stock has lost 8.49%. Over one year, the stock is flat. It is unlikely that the stock will see much upside in the near future due to macro economic challenges. It is better to shift to a small-cap or mid-cap stock like Persistent, Tata Elxsi etc.

      1. Dear Michael, I posted a query nearly a month ago, but unfortunately you missed it. Can you please give names of a few stocks that you think (as per only your belief) I should invest from this month for next years. Will be obliged.

          1. I have small sip of icici running. I want to start some more. I want to start some more SIPs for Rs.5000 to 7000 per month.

    1. It is best to buy blue chip small-cap and mid-cap shares with a good track record of profitability and growth. You can look at Prima Plastics, Balaji Amines, Kuyoko Camlin, Linc Pen, ADF Foods, Vidhi Dyestuffs etc.

    1. Rattan Power is looking very weak. Not sure about its prospects. I suggest a shift to micro-cap stocks like Prima Plastics, Vidhi Dyestuffs, ADF Foods, Panama Petrochem. These are good stocks with good management.

        1. It is better to avoid penny stocks because of risks of corporate governance. It is better to invest in small-cap stocks. These have a proven track record. The capital is safe and there is also a possibility of good growth in such stocks.

  45. Please give me TGT for following Stocks I will Hold such stocks for next 2 years
    FIEM INDUSTRIES
    MARICO
    HERITAGE FOOD
    GARWARE WALL ROPE
    JK PAPER
    BHARAT FINANCIAL INCLUSIONS
    WEST COST PAPER
    PHILLIPS CARBONS

  46. Hi Basant Maheshwari, I have Granules bought at Rs. 123/- in Oct 2015, currently it is down to 106. What should I do? Should I hold? if yes up to what price I should hold? if exit then what price?

    1. The stock is down because of regulatory problems with the FDA of Portugal. However these problems are temporary and the stock will spring back. Continue to hold.

        1. Mahanager Gas is a very good stock meant for long-term investors. It has a steady revenue model which faces no risk of disruption or competition. The stock has given 72% return on a one year basis. Assuming it now compounds at about 25%, we can expect the stock to double in about 3 years, which is a very good return on investment.

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